Highway to the future: What is the economic potential of autonomous vehicles on the US market

AVs could add 455K US jobs in 15 years, boosting high-skilled, high-wage growth and regional renewal.

Recently, Steer and Fourth Economy co-authored a report for Chamber of Progress that explores the economic impact of autonomous vehicles (AV) – here meaning vehicles containing tech that can understand road conditions such as adaptive cruise control - on the US job market. The findings indicate that the AV market could generate up to 455,000 jobs over the next 15 years in the US, encompassing roles from production and assembly line workers to maintenance technicians. That represents 190 jobs created for every 1000 AVs on American roads. 

The report also says that rather than overnight joblessness, the slow rollout of AV can result in a smooth transition to a high-skilled and high-wage automotive industry. Roles will include everything from science, technology, engineering and math (STEM) jobs to business support and manufacturing. 82% of AV workers make more than the US median average wage and many of those jobs are accessible to those without a college degree, 59% of whom working in the AV industry earn more than the US median wage. 

The gradual nature of AV adoption will allow the workforce to adapt over time. Training and education programs will be essential to reskill and upskill workers, ensuring they can transition into new roles created by the AV industry. Collaboration with educational institutions and industry partners will be key to developing a skilled workforce ready to meet the demands of this evolving sector.

Finally, the report also highlights that AVs have the potential to transform the U.S. into a major exporter of vehicles, parts, technology, and knowledge. The AV industry is poised to stimulate regional growth in traditional automotive manufacturing areas across the Midwest and the South, which can link blue-collar regions to tech hubs and bring economically disparate regions of the US together. Strong policy support and investment in workforce skills are crucial to maintaining and expanding the U.S.'s leading position in the AV market. 

Highway to the future What is the economic potential of autonomous vehicles on the US market - Voices of Steer

How we can help you

  1. At its core, our work helps clients to plan, develop, and implement new transport technologies. Steer expertise is based on a deep understanding of the factors which help or hinder the adoption of new technologies, and monitoring and evaluation of new services enable us to build an evidence base to inform planning and implementation.
     
  2. New technologies and business models are changing the way that people and goods move around our urban, suburban, and rural communities. Navigating these changes effectively is essential to maximize the benefits (more efficient, lower emission, safer, and personalized services) and minimize the risks (increased congestion, carbon and particulate emissions, and inequalities).

We support both operators and public bodies worldwide, providing knowledge, insight, and guidance on the implementation and development of technologies to complement existing services while maintaining a commercial understanding of business needs and the need to meet carbon reduction targets. Our comprehensive approach ensures that our clients can navigate the complexities of AV adoption, from planning and development to execution and monitoring, maximizing economic benefits while minimizing potential risks.

Whether you are an operator looking to integrate AVs into your fleet or a public body aiming to develop supportive policies, we provide the expertise and strategic guidance necessary to succeed in this rapidly evolving landscape.

Contact an expert: Chris Worley (Fourth Economy) and Alia Verloes (Steer).

Off

Subscribe to our newsletter, The Edit

We are Steer

Yes, you are in the right place. After 40 years, we have changed our name from Steer Davies Gleave to mark our growing international footprint and our expanding portfolio into sectors beyond transport.

Explore our new website to learn more about Steer: who we are, how we work and what our future holds.

Related insights

  • 25 Nov 2025
    Company news

    Steer leads conversation at Active Travel Innovations 2025

    Dom Smith
    Dom Smith
    Associate

    Driving the conversation on inclusive, people-centred mobility at ATI 2025.

    Read more

  • taxis
    24 Nov 2025
    Article

    Dynamic pricing: How can European cities adapt to this innovation in taxi fare setting?

    Susmita Das
    Susmita Das
    Associate

    How flexible fare models enhance performance and transparency for a more sustainable taxi system.

    Read more

  • 20 Nov 2025
    Company news

    Demonstrating the real value of infrastructure: the economic impact of Highway 407 ETR

    Patrick Miller
    Associate Director
    Reiner Kravis
    Reiner Kravis
    Senior Consultant

    How Highway 407 ETR drives regional growth, cuts travel times and strengthens communities.

    Read more

  • 18 Nov 2025
    Company news

    Award-winning project: Steer and SANDAG recognized for advancing sustainable mobility in San Diego

    Geoff England
    Vice President, Program Operations

    Celebrating Steer and SANDAG’s award-winning work advancing sustainable mobility in San Diego.

    Read more

  • 14 Nov 2025
    Article

    Britain’s rail stations: The ring of confidence

    Profile image
    Mike Goggin
    Managing Director, Transformation & Growth

    Exploring how greater industry confidence can shape stronger, more successful stations for 2035.

    Read more

  • 11 Nov 2025
    Podcast

    Inside Steer: Conversations with Experts - Ep. 1 | David Cuneo

    Duration: 30 mins

    Steer’s David Cuneo joins Herb Higginbotham to explore how technology and innovation are changing the future of mobility.

    Listen now

  • 05 Nov 2025
    Article

    The Railway Bill: Building a new railway sector for Britain

    Profile image
    Mike Goggin
    Managing Director, Transformation & Growth

    The Railways Bill outlines the framework for reform – but its impact will depend on delivery and leadership.

    Read more

  • 31 Oct 2025
    Article

    The art of transforming a road into a venue

    Joe Milner
    Principal Consultant

    Turning streets into event venues takes more than road closures; it takes careful planning, coordination and design to keep everyone moving

    Read more

  • 27 Oct 2025
    Company news

    Steer advises CMA CGM on acquisition of Freightliner UK Intermodal Logistics

    Alberto Preti
    Alberto Preti
    Associate Director
    Antonio Beltran
    Antonio Beltrán Arranz
    Associate

    Steer supports CMA CGM’s Freightliner acquisition, strengthening sustainable intermodal freight in Europe.

    Read more

  • 27 Oct 2025
    Article

    Reliable, Renewable, Ready: Is this biomethane's big moment in the UK?

    Viet Nguyen
    Associate Director at Amberside Advisors

    Biomethane is scaling fast in the UK — but policy alignment and planning reform are vital to sustain growth.

    Read more

  • 22 Oct 2025
    Company news

    A new chapter for Fourth Economy

    By Steer

    Celebrating 15 years of impact and exciting new chapter for Fourth Economy sees Sally J Guzik appointed as President.

    Read more

  • 22 Oct 2025
    Article

    Game Changers: The megatrends that will redefine global infrastructure

    Jon Peters
    Associate Director

    Our latest global insight report exploring the forces transforming how we move, power, and connect the world.

    Read more